OSU-Texas Tech Matchups & Prediction

Joseph Randle vs. Texas Tech in 2011.

When the Big 12 revamped its football schedule, Oklahoma State faced the task of playing at Texas Tech in back-to-back years. It especially looked daunting as the Cowboys had really struggled at AT&T Jones Stadium. Now after winning both times in West Texas, including a 66-6 domination in 2011, playing Tech on the road doesn't sound so bad. But it's still better to play anybody at the Boone.

1. OSU corners Brodrick Brown and Justin Gilbert
vs. Tech wide receivers Eric Ward and Darrin Moore
Ward is a tremendous route runner with great hands who can move the chains or can come up with the big catch. Moore is a big play waiting to happen as he combines his big frame and the ability to muscle defenders with the speed to get away from man of those same defenders.

Since Tech also employs inside receivers, and is often in four and five wide sets there are other receivers to make sure they get covered. Ward is Seth Doege's security blanket and Moore is his indulgence.

The good news for Cowboys fans is that Brown is really consistent, and has been the last month of the season. It also appears after Justin Gilbert's kickoff return for a touchdown last week, his confidence was bolstered and he is ready to pick up where he left off at the end of last season in the Fiesta Bowl. OSU defensive coordinator Bill Young said Gilbert had a great week of practice.
Edge: Even

2. OSU defensive tackles Calvin Barnett, James Castleman and Anthony Rogers
vs. Texas Tech center Deveric Gallington
and guards Le'Raven Clark and Beau Carpenter
Tech is a spread team, but they still want to run the football, or maybe it's more appropriate to say Texas Tech head coach Tommy Tuberville really wants to run the football.

One thing that Texas Tech does a little different with their zone plays is fold block them. The guard will loop (fold) around the center and create a cross block that can often open up a wider gap for the running back to run through.

As a defensive lineman you can drill on this over and over, but it can still catch a defensive tackle off guard. Barnett and Castleman are smart and athletic, and Rogers coming on in the last couple of weeks really helps. Tech's G-C-G will have their hands full.
Edge: OSU defensive tackles Calvin Barnett, James Castleman and Anthony Rogers

3. OSU quarterback ??? vs. Tech right safety Cody Davis
You thought you were going to get the starting quarterback? But no, we left it open. Whoever leads the Cowboys offense had better be ready to make good decisions against one of the best safeties in the Big 12.

Davis has 79 tackles and is equally good on defending passes as he is coming up and playing downhill against the run. He is a smart player that will track quarterbacks.

The best decisionmaker right now for OSU may be Clint Chelf. His lone interception wasn't his fault. J.W. Walsh is always cerebral about things and he will play smart with a little bit of guts. Wes Lunt is always doing some gambling. Davis can make you pay.
Edge: Tech right safety Cody Davis

Prediction
Texas Tech likes to attack on defense and take the fight to the offense. They are the first team I've seen on tape this season that has a "casino" blitz. It is a blitz with all the linebackers and a safety coming. They will run a lot of blitzes and they will make it work with cover 1 and cover 0 behind the pressure. Oklahoma State will find some home runs on Saturday. On the other side of the ball, the Cowboys need to keep up the improvement that we have seen on defense.
No. 24 Oklahoma State 38, No. 23 Texas Tech 34

Big 12 Predictions
Iowa State 21, Kansas 14

No. 12 Oklahoma 42, West Virginia 28

No. 1 Kansas State 45, Baylor 21

Last Week's Predictions
Oklahoma State 38, West Virginia 24
Actual Score: 55-34 Oklahoma State

No. 22 Texas Tech 35, Kansas 23
Actual Score: 41-34 (2OT) Texas Tech

No. 17 Texas 24, Iowa State 20
Actual Score: 33-7 Texas

No. 12 Oklahoma 59, Baylor 21
Actual Score 36-28

No. 2 Kansas State 37, TCU 13
Actual Score 23-10 Kansas State

Last Week: 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS
Record: SU 52-11/ATS 35-19 (Games involving FCS teams don't have point spreads.)

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